Serie B · 2024

América Mineiro 3–2 Ituano · Serie B

3–2Historical match

Ituano

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 3–2.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
108
Expected goals
1.681.68
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Ituano 3–2. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Ituano): shots 16–15, shots on target 10–8, expected goals 1.68–1.68, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ituano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

América Mineiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsAmérica Mineiro · Ituano11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroItuanoBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

América Mineiro have a visible home split

moderate

América Mineiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match14 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsAmérica Mineiro 16 shots, Ituano 15 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots8 shotsAmérica Mineiro 10 shots, Ituano 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG1.68 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.68 xG, Ituano 1.68 xG
  • Possession65%35%América Mineiro 65%, Ituano 35%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersAmérica Mineiro 7 corners, Ituano 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsAmérica Mineiro 9 fouls, Ituano 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
1Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — América Mineiro · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro36 matchesItuano36 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.08 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.64 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.23 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots36/3611.2 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.94 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession36/3644.8%
4.97 corners/match ●Corners36/364.89 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 Nov 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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