PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Paysandu 2–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 2–1.

Shots
2811
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.381.22
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu SC beat Vila Nova FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paysandu SC – Vila Nova FC): shots 28–11, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.38–1.22, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paysandu SC have a visible home split

moderate

Paysandu SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots11 shotsPaysandu 28 shots, Vila Nova FC 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsPaysandu 8 shots, Vila Nova FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG1.22 xGPaysandu 2.38 xG, Vila Nova FC 1.22 xG
  • Possession64%36%Paysandu 64%, Vila Nova FC 36%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersPaysandu 8 corners, Vila Nova FC 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsPaysandu 13 fouls, Vila Nova FC 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paysandu
1Draws
0Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Paysandu · Serie B2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu38 matchesVila Nova FC38 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.11 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.42 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals37/381.12 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots38/3811.9 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/383.79 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession38/3850.1%
6.47 corners/match ●Corners38/384.47 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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