PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Goiás 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

Goiás

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1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 1–0.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.412.84
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Novorizontino): shots 12–18, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.41–2.84, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsGoiás 12 shots, Novorizontino 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsGoiás 4 shots, Novorizontino 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG2.84 xGGoiás 0.41 xG, Novorizontino 2.84 xG
  • Possession50%50%Goiás 50%, Novorizontino 50%
  • Corners5 corners12 cornersGoiás 5 corners, Novorizontino 12 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls20 foulsGoiás 7 fouls, Novorizontino 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
0Draws
1Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Goiás · Serie B2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás38 matchesNovorizontino38 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.13 goals/match
0.84 goals/matchGoals allowed38/380.82 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/381.18 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots37/38▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target37/384.24 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession37/3842.9%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners37/385.03 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls37/3817 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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