PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino 1–1 CRB · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

CRB

DL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino and CRB drew 1–1.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.251.47
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino and CRB drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – CRB): shots 19–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.25–1.47, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB.

5.08 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · CRB3.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoCRBBaseline
Rest days5.08 days3.85 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsNovorizontino 19 shots, CRB 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 3 shots, CRB 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.47 xGNovorizontino 1.25 xG, CRB 1.47 xG
  • Possession43%57%Novorizontino 43%, CRB 57%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerNovorizontino 5 corners, CRB 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsNovorizontino 19 fouls, CRB 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Novorizontino
0Draws
2CRB
Novorizontino — CRB · Serie B3–0
CRB — Novorizontino · Serie B4–0
CRB — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1
Novorizontino — CRB · Serie B2–1
CRB — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 0 of 4 directional metrics · CRB in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino3 matchesCRB3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoCRB
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required