PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club 1–1 América Mineiro · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club and América Mineiro drew 1–1.

Shots
717
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.840.96
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club and América Mineiro drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – América Mineiro): shots 7–17, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.84–0.96, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club.

3.94 days ▲Rest daysAthletic Club · América Mineiro4.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthletic ClubAmérica MineiroBaseline
Rest days3.94 days4.08 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsAthletic Club 7 shots, América Mineiro 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAthletic Club 3 shots, América Mineiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG0.96 xGAthletic Club 0.84 xG, América Mineiro 0.96 xG
  • Possession36%64%Athletic Club 36%, América Mineiro 64%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersAthletic Club 4 corners, América Mineiro 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsAthletic Club 14 fouls, América Mineiro 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletic Club
0Draws
1América Mineiro
Athletic Club — América Mineiro · Serie B0–2
América Mineiro — Athletic Club · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 0 of 4 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club3 matchesAmérica Mineiro3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAthletic Club — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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