Botafogo-SP 1–2 São Bernardo — Match Stats & Analysis

Serie B · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC

Botafogo-SP

1–2Full-time analysis

São Bernardo

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

São Bernardo won 1–2.

Shots: 1411
Shots on target: 36
Expected goals: 1.251.38
Possession: 50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Bernardo beat Botafogo-SP 2–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – São Bernardo): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.25–1.38, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo.

4.1 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · São Bernardo3.06 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Botafogo-SP	São Bernardo	Baseline
Rest days	4.1 days	3.06 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 match	1 match	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

Shots14 shots11 shotsBotafogo-SP 14 shots, São Bernardo 11 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, São Bernardo 6 shots
Expected goals1.25 xG1.38 xGBotafogo-SP 1.25 xG, São Bernardo 1.38 xG
Possession50%50%Botafogo-SP 50%, São Bernardo 50%
Corners9 corners7 cornersBotafogo-SP 9 corners, São Bernardo 7 corners
Fouls11 fouls11 foulsBotafogo-SP 11 fouls, São Bernardo 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 0 of 4 directional metrics · São Bernardo in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP3 matchesSão Bernardo3 matches

2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4