PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 2–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.830.71
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Athletic Club 2–1. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Athletic Club): shots 20–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.83–0.71, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsNovorizontino 20 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsNovorizontino 7 shots, Athletic Club 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.71 xGNovorizontino 1.83 xG, Athletic Club 0.71 xG
  • Possession63%37%Novorizontino 63%, Athletic Club 37%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerNovorizontino 11 corners, Athletic Club 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsNovorizontino 11 fouls, Athletic Club 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
0Draws
0Athletic Club
Novorizontino — Athletic Club · Serie B1–0
Athletic Club — Novorizontino · Serie B0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino5 matchesAthletic Club5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/40.97 xG/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots3/48.25 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/43 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession3/438.5%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/43.25 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/417.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoAthletic Club
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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