PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 3–2 Criciúma · Serie B

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 3–2.

Shots
146
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.550.92
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 3–2. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Criciúma): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.55–0.92, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsFortaleza 14 shots, Criciúma 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFortaleza 4 shots, Criciúma 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.92 xGFortaleza 0.55 xG, Criciúma 0.92 xG
  • Possession45%55%Fortaleza 45%, Criciúma 55%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFortaleza 4 corners, Criciúma 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsFortaleza 18 fouls, Criciúma 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortaleza
1Draws
0Criciúma
Fortaleza — Criciúma · Serie A1–0
Criciúma — Fortaleza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 1 of 4 directional metrics · Criciúma in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza5 matchesCriciúma5 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1 goal/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headFortaleza — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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