PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Criciúma 3–1 CRB · Serie B

3–1Full-time analysis

CRB

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 3–1.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.771.28
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat CRB 3–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – CRB): shots 17–17, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.77–1.28, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

weak

CRB's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Criciúma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciúma · CRB16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaCRBBaseline
Shots16 shots/match16 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsCriciúma 17 shots, CRB 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsCriciúma 7 shots, CRB 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG1.28 xGCriciúma 1.77 xG, CRB 1.28 xG
  • Possession42%58%Criciúma 42%, CRB 58%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersCriciúma 9 corners, CRB 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsCriciúma 13 fouls, CRB 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Criciúma
0Draws
1CRB
Criciúma — CRB · Serie B1–0
CRB — Criciúma · Serie B1–0
CRB — Criciúma · Serie B0–1
Criciúma — CRB · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma6 matchesCRB6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.38 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots4/416 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.75 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/4● 55%
7 corners/match ●Corners4/43 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaCRB
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCriciúma — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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