PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense 2–1 Avaí · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

Avaí

WWDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.530.77
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Avaí): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.53–0.77, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsAtlético Goianiense 16 shots, Avaí 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAtlético Goianiense 6 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.77 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.53 xG, Avaí 0.77 xG
  • Possession41%59%Atlético Goianiense 41%, Avaí 59%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerAtlético Goianiense 6 corners, Avaí 1 corner
  • Fouls22 fouls10 foulsAtlético Goianiense 22 fouls, Avaí 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Goianiense
2Draws
0Avaí
Atlético Goianiense — Avaí · Serie B2–1
Avaí — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–0
Avaí — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–2
Atlético Goianiense — Avaí · Serie B0–0
Avaí — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 0 of 4 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense6 matchesAvaí6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseAvaí
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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