PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 1–2 CRB · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

CRB

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–2.

Shots
916
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.841.59
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat América Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – CRB): shots 9–16, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.84–1.59, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro have a visible home split

weak

América Mineiro's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsAmérica Mineiro 9 shots, CRB 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, CRB 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.59 xGAmérica Mineiro 0.84 xG, CRB 1.59 xG
  • Possession44%56%América Mineiro 44%, CRB 56%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, CRB 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls20 foulsAmérica Mineiro 18 fouls, CRB 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2América Mineiro
1Draws
1CRB
América Mineiro — CRB · Serie B1–1
CRB — América Mineiro · Serie B1–2
CRB — América Mineiro · Serie B2–1
América Mineiro — CRB · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 2 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro7 matchesCRB7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.42 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 16 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession4/555.2%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/53.2 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/513.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroCRB
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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