PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estádio da Ressacada

Avaí 3–3 Novorizontino · Serie B

Avaí

WDDLL
3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Avaí and Novorizontino drew 3–3.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
2Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Avaí · Serie B1–1
Avaí — Novorizontino · Serie B1–1
Novorizontino — Avaí · Serie B2–0
Avaí — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 4 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí7 matchesNovorizontino7 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.29 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsAvaíNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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