PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Avaí 0–0 Fortaleza · Serie B

Avaí

DDLLD
0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Avaí and Fortaleza drew 0–0.

Shots
209
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.320.61
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí and Fortaleza drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Fortaleza): shots 20–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.32–0.61, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsAvaí 20 shots, Fortaleza 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAvaí 6 shots, Fortaleza 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.61 xGAvaí 1.32 xG, Fortaleza 0.61 xG
  • Possession55%45%Avaí 55%, Fortaleza 45%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAvaí 5 corners, Fortaleza 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls17 foulsAvaí 19 fouls, Fortaleza 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
0Draws
1Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Avaí · Serie A2–0
Avaí — Fortaleza · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 1 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí8 matchesFortaleza8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/40.79 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/413 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/43.5 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession3/444.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/4● 5.25 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/416 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíFortaleza
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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