Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC 2–0 Avaí · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

Avaí

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–0.

Shots
147
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.30.65
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Avaí 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Avaí): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.3–0.65, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí have a visible away split

weak

Avaí's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsVila Nova FC 14 shots, Avaí 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 6 shots, Avaí 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG0.65 xGVila Nova FC 1.3 xG, Avaí 0.65 xG
  • Possession45%55%Vila Nova FC 45%, Avaí 55%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerVila Nova FC 2 corners, Avaí 1 corner
  • Fouls21 fouls16 foulsVila Nova FC 21 fouls, Avaí 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vila Nova FC
3Draws
1Avaí
Vila Nova FC — Avaí · Serie B2–2
Avaí — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1
Avaí — Vila Nova FC · Serie B3–0
Vila Nova FC — Avaí · Serie B2–1
Vila Nova FC — Avaí · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 1 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC9 matchesAvaí9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.86 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match
57% ●Possession4/453%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners4/43 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 May 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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