PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife and Athletic Club drew 1–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.660.86
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife and Athletic Club drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Athletic Club): shots 19–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.66–0.86, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsSport Recife 19 shots, Athletic Club 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, Athletic Club 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.86 xGSport Recife 1.66 xG, Athletic Club 0.86 xG
  • Possession67%33%Sport Recife 67%, Athletic Club 33%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersSport Recife 8 corners, Athletic Club 2 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls13 foulsSport Recife 4 fouls, Athletic Club 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife12 matchesAthletic Club12 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121 goal/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/80.93 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/87.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/83 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession4/838.9%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/83.25 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/815.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeAthletic Club
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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