PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 1–1 Londrina · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro and Londrina drew 1–1.

Shots
2412
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.551.96
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro and Londrina drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Londrina): shots 24–12, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.55–1.96, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots12 shotsAmérica Mineiro 24 shots, Londrina 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAmérica Mineiro 6 shots, Londrina 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.96 xGAmérica Mineiro 2.55 xG, Londrina 1.96 xG
  • Possession62%38%América Mineiro 62%, Londrina 38%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersAmérica Mineiro 7 corners, Londrina 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsAmérica Mineiro 14 fouls, Londrina 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro17 matchesLondrina17 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/81.15 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots9/811.5 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/83.75 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession9/843.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/8● 5.25 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls9/813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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