PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 0–0 Athletic Club · Serie B

Ceará

WDLLL
0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ceará and Athletic Club drew 0–0.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.410.9
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará and Athletic Club drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Athletic Club): shots 12–13, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.41–0.9, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsCeará 12 shots, Athletic Club 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotCeará 2 shots, Athletic Club 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.41 xG0.9 xGCeará 0.41 xG, Athletic Club 0.9 xG
  • Possession65%35%Ceará 65%, Athletic Club 35%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCeará 7 corners, Athletic Club 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsCeará 9 fouls, Athletic Club 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará17 matchesAthletic Club17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals7/101 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/109.1 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/102.7 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession7/1039.9%
5.86 corners/match ●Corners7/104 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/1015.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáAthletic Club
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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