PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Avaí 2–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

Avaí

DWLLW
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 2–1.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.510.48
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Sport Recife): shots 19–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.51–0.48, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsAvaí 19 shots, Sport Recife 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAvaí 3 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.48 xGAvaí 1.51 xG, Sport Recife 0.48 xG
  • Possession38%62%Avaí 38%, Sport Recife 62%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAvaí 6 corners, Sport Recife 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsAvaí 18 fouls, Sport Recife 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
2Draws
2Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Avaí · Serie B2–2
Avaí — Sport Recife · Serie B0–2
Sport Recife — Avaí · Serie B1–2
Avaí — Sport Recife · Serie B2–2
Sport Recife — Avaí · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí23 matchesSport Recife23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.96 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals11/9▲ 1.09 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots11/9▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target11/94 shots/match
50.1%Possession11/9● 55%
3.91 corners/matchCorners11/9● 5.67 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls11/911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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