PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Cuiabá 1–0 Operário-PR · Serie B

Cuiabá

LLDDW
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–0.

Shots
621
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.581.03
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Operário-PR 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Operário-PR): shots 6–21, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.58–1.03, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots21 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Operário-PR 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsCuiabá 1 shot, Operário-PR 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.03 xGCuiabá 0.58 xG, Operário-PR 1.03 xG
  • Possession44%56%Cuiabá 44%, Operário-PR 56%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersCuiabá 4 corners, Operário-PR 9 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCuiabá 16 fouls, Operário-PR 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cuiabá
2Draws
1Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Cuiabá · Serie B0–0
Operário-PR — Cuiabá · Serie B1–1
Cuiabá — Operário-PR · Serie B2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá23 matchesOperário-PR23 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.28 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/113.91 shots/match
48.6%Possession11/11● 53.4%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners11/115.36 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCuiabá — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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