PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 1–1 Criciúma · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP and Criciúma drew 1–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.130.3
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP and Criciúma drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Criciúma): shots 17–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.13–0.3, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsBotafogo-SP 17 shots, Criciúma 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Criciúma 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG0.3 xGBotafogo-SP 1.13 xG, Criciúma 0.3 xG
  • Possession57%43%Botafogo-SP 57%, Criciúma 43%
  • Corners11 corners8 cornersBotafogo-SP 11 corners, Criciúma 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsBotafogo-SP 6 fouls, Criciúma 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
0Draws
4Criciúma
Criciúma — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0
Botafogo-SP — Criciúma · Serie B0–2
Criciúma — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0
Botafogo-SP — Criciúma · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP23 matchesCriciúma23 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.65 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.19 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 14.5 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/114.36 shots/match
49.7%Possession12/11● 54.7%
6.58 corners/matchCorners12/11● 6.73 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required