PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Criciúma 0–2 Fortaleza · Serie B

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 0–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.821.21
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Fortaleza): shots 19–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.82–1.21, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciúma, Fortaleza.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysCriciúma · Fortaleza3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciúmaFortalezaBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsCriciúma 19 shots, Fortaleza 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCriciúma 6 shots, Fortaleza 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.21 xGCriciúma 0.82 xG, Fortaleza 1.21 xG
  • Possession73%27%Criciúma 73%, Fortaleza 27%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerCriciúma 10 corners, Fortaleza 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsCriciúma 9 fouls, Fortaleza 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Criciúma
1Draws
2Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Criciúma · Serie B3–2
Fortaleza — Criciúma · Serie A1–0
Criciúma — Fortaleza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma24 matchesFortaleza24 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/240.88 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals12/13▲ 1.35 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots12/1314.9 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target12/134.69 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession12/1348.8%
7 corners/match ●Corners12/135.77 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaFortaleza
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCriciúma — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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