PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Ceará 0–2 São Paulo · Serie A

Ceará

LDDDW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 0–2.

Shots
821
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.532.69
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Ceará 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – São Paulo): shots 8–21, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.53–2.69, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots21 shotsCeará 8 shots, São Paulo 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsCeará 1 shot, São Paulo 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG2.69 xGCeará 0.53 xG, São Paulo 2.69 xG
  • Possession39%61%Ceará 39%, São Paulo 61%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersCeará 4 corners, São Paulo 10 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsCeará 15 fouls, São Paulo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
1Draws
0São Paulo
São Paulo — Ceará · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará27 matchesSão Paulo27 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.15 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.43 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots27/2713.8 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target27/274.33 shots/match
50.6%Possession27/27● 55.3%
5.22 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.3 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Sept 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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