PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Flamengo 1–2 Fluminense · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 1–2.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.662.12
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Flamengo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Fluminense): shots 18–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.66–2.12, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.56 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fluminense have a visible away split

moderate

Fluminense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsFlamengo 18 shots, Fluminense 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFlamengo 6 shots, Fluminense 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.66 xG2.12 xGFlamengo 2.66 xG, Fluminense 2.12 xG
  • Possession50%50%Flamengo 50%, Fluminense 50%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersFlamengo 6 corners, Fluminense 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsFlamengo 12 fouls, Fluminense 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
0Draws
0Fluminense
Fluminense — Flamengo · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo27 matchesFluminense27 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.56 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.15 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.24 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots27/2713.9 shots/match
5.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.56 shots/match
56.8%Possession27/27● 60%
6.15 corners/match ●Corners27/275.78 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Sept 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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