PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Juventude 1–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude and Fortaleza drew 1–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.740.44
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude and Fortaleza drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Fortaleza): shots 18–11, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.74–0.44, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.78 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

strong

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsJuventude 18 shots, Fortaleza 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotJuventude 8 shots, Fortaleza 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.44 xGJuventude 1.74 xG, Fortaleza 0.44 xG
  • Possession62%38%Juventude 62%, Fortaleza 38%
  • Corners14 corners2 cornersJuventude 14 corners, Fortaleza 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsJuventude 14 fouls, Fortaleza 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
1Draws
0Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Juventude · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude27 matchesFortaleza27 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.09 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.22 shots/match
47% ●Possession27/2745.9%
5.74 corners/match ●Corners27/275.37 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Sept 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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