PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Ceará 2–1 Santos · Serie A

Ceará

DLDDD
2–1Historical match

Santos

WLWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–1.

Shots
810
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.780.88
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Santos 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Santos): shots 8–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.78–0.88, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsCeará 8 shots, Santos 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCeará 4 shots, Santos 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.88 xGCeará 0.78 xG, Santos 0.88 xG
  • Possession44%56%Ceará 44%, Santos 56%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersCeará 3 corners, Santos 5 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls17 foulsCeará 24 fouls, Santos 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
1Draws
0Santos
Santos — Ceará · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará26 matchesSantos26 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.12 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.36 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots26/2613.5 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target26/264.58 shots/match
51% ●Possession26/2647.6%
5.27 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.62 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Sept 2022, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáSantos
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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