PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 0–1 Bahia · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 0–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
0.941.18
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Vasco da Gama 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Bahia): shots 15–12, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 0.94–1.18, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vasco da Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsVasco da Gama · Bahia11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaBahiaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match11 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%PossessionVasco da Gama · Bahia● 49.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaBahiaBaseline
Possession39%49.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsVasco da Gama 15 shots, Bahia 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsVasco da Gama 6 shots, Bahia 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.18 xGVasco da Gama 0.94 xG, Bahia 1.18 xG
  • Possession55%45%Vasco da Gama 55%, Bahia 45%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersVasco da Gama 7 corners, Bahia 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls19 foulsVasco da Gama 19 fouls, Bahia 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama3 matchesBahia3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.91 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.67 shots/match
39%Possession3/3● 49.7%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls3/316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 May 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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