PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fluminense 1–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1.

Shots
238
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
1.770.68
Possession
79%21%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Vasco da Gama): shots 23–8, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 1.77–0.68, possession 79%–21%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.3% ●PossessionFluminense · Vasco da Gama34.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 31.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseVasco da GamaBaseline
Possession66.3%34.5%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Fluminense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fluminense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsFluminense · Vasco da Gama10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseVasco da GamaBaseline
Shots16 shots/match10.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match18.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots8 shotsFluminense 23 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotFluminense 9 shots, Vasco da Gama 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.77 xG0.68 xGFluminense 1.77 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.68 xG
  • Possession79%21%Fluminense 79%, Vasco da Gama 21%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerFluminense 9 corners, Vasco da Gama 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsFluminense 12 fouls, Vasco da Gama 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense4 matchesVasco da Gama4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.15 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots4/410.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match
66.3% ●Possession4/434.5%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/43.25 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/416.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 May 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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