PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bahia 3–1 Coritiba · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 3–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.520.38
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Coritiba 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Coritiba): shots 15–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.52–0.38, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Coritiba's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBahia · Coritiba13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBahiaCoritibaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsBahia 15 shots, Coritiba 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBahia 5 shots, Coritiba 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.38 xGBahia 1.52 xG, Coritiba 0.38 xG
  • Possession51%49%Bahia 51%, Coritiba 49%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersBahia 3 corners, Coritiba 5 corners
  • Fouls28 fouls24 foulsBahia 28 fouls, Coritiba 24 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia4 matchesCoritiba4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.83 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/44.75 shots/match
50% ●Possession4/445.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.5 corners/match
19.5 fouls/matchFouls4/416 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 May 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required