PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Athletico 2–1 Flamengo · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 2–1.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.041.47
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Flamengo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Flamengo): shots 10–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.04–1.47, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.5%PossessionAthletico · Flamengo● 64.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoFlamengoBaseline
Possession40.5%64.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Athletico show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletico · Flamengo17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoFlamengoBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match12 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsAthletico 10 shots, Flamengo 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAthletico 4 shots, Flamengo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.47 xGAthletico 1.04 xG, Flamengo 1.47 xG
  • Possession39%61%Athletico 39%, Flamengo 61%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersAthletico 2 corners, Flamengo 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsAthletico 15 fouls, Flamengo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
0Draws
1Flamengo
Flamengo — Athletico · Serie A5–0
Athletico — Flamengo · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico4 matchesFlamengo4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.94 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 17.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 7 shots/match
40.5%Possession4/4● 64.5%
4 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.75 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 May 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAthletico — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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