PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 1–2 Grêmio · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 1–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.231.69
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio beat Cuiabá 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Grêmio): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.23–1.69, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Grêmio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCuiabá · Grêmio13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáGrêmioBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match17.3 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsCuiabá 15 shots, Grêmio 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsCuiabá 4 shots, Grêmio 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.69 xGCuiabá 1.23 xG, Grêmio 1.69 xG
  • Possession51%49%Cuiabá 51%, Grêmio 49%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersCuiabá 7 corners, Grêmio 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCuiabá 16 fouls, Grêmio 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá3 matchesGrêmio3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/31 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/313.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6.33 shots/match
44.3%Possession3/3● 48.3%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/34.67 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 May 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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