PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 2–3 Botafogo · Serie A

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–3.

Shots
2412
Shots on target
136
Expected goals
3.342.45
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Flamengo 3–2. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Botafogo): shots 24–12, shots on target 13–6, expected goals 3.34–2.45, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.7% ●PossessionFlamengo · Botafogo32.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 33.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoBotafogoBaseline
Possession65.7%32.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Botafogo9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoBotafogoBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.8 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match17.7 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots12 shotsFlamengo 24 shots, Botafogo 12 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots6 shotsFlamengo 13 shots, Botafogo 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.34 xG2.45 xGFlamengo 3.34 xG, Botafogo 2.45 xG
  • Possession74%26%Flamengo 74%, Botafogo 26%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFlamengo 7 corners, Botafogo 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsFlamengo 14 fouls, Botafogo 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
0Draws
1Botafogo
Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A0–1
Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo3 matchesBotafogo3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.18 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
8 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
65.7% ●Possession3/332.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/32.67 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Apr 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFlamengo — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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