Serie A · 2023

Grêmio 3–3 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio and Red Bull Bragantino drew 3–3.

Shots
1121
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.731.84
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio and Red Bull Bragantino drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 11–21, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.73–1.84, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsGrêmio · Red Bull Bragantino13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGrêmioRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match13 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.8%PossessionGrêmio · Red Bull Bragantino● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGrêmioRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Possession46.8%56%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots21 shotsGrêmio 11 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsGrêmio 3 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.84 xGGrêmio 1.73 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.84 xG
  • Possession42%58%Grêmio 42%, Red Bull Bragantino 58%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersGrêmio 4 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls20 foulsGrêmio 9 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio4 matchesRed Bull Bragantino4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.57 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/413.3 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/4● 56%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.25 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/419.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 May 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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