PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 2–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–0.

Shots
229
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.030.5
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Atlético Mineiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Atlético Mineiro): shots 22–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.03–0.5, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atlético Mineiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

34.3%PossessionBotafogo · Atlético Mineiro● 64.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBotafogoAtlético MineiroBaseline
Possession34.3%64.3%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Atlético Mineiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Mineiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo · Atlético Mineiro16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogoAtlético MineiroBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsBotafogo 22 shots, Atlético Mineiro 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotBotafogo 7 shots, Atlético Mineiro 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.03 xG0.5 xGBotafogo 2.03 xG, Atlético Mineiro 0.5 xG
  • Possession39%61%Botafogo 39%, Atlético Mineiro 61%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersBotafogo 5 corners, Atlético Mineiro 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsBotafogo 14 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
0Draws
1Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A0–2
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo4 matchesAtlético Mineiro4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.36 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 16.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5.5 shots/match
34.3%Possession4/4● 64.3%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/415.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 May 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headBotafogo — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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