Palmeiras
Serie A · 2023Palmeiras 4–1 Grêmio · Serie A
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Palmeiras won 4–1.
- Shots
- 28–3
- Shots on target
- 10–2
- Expected goals
- 4.31–0.08
- Possession
- 59%–41%
Full time
What the match recorded
Palmeiras beat Grêmio 4–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Grêmio): shots 28–3, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 4.31–0.08, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderatePalmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Palmeiras | Grêmio | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 19.2 shots/match | 10.8 shots/match | 14.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.2 shots/match | 20.2 shots/match | 15.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Palmeiras, Grêmio.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Palmeiras | Grêmio | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.12 days | 3.12 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Grêmio have a visible away split
weakGrêmio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8.67 shots/match | 10.8 shots/match | 14.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Palmeiras favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 0 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 3.12 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Palmeiras / Grêmio
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.