PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fluminense 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 2–1.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.070.57
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Red Bull Bragantino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 12–15, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.07–0.57, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsFluminense 12 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFluminense 4 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.57 xGFluminense 1.07 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.57 xG
  • Possession51%49%Fluminense 51%, Red Bull Bragantino 49%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersFluminense 6 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsFluminense 11 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fluminense
0Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Fluminense · Serie A0–1
Fluminense — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense9 matchesRed Bull Bragantino9 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.56 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.42 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.44 shots/match
62.9% ●Possession9/955.2%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners9/95.44 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/917.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jun 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFluminense — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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