Grêmio
Serie A · 2023Grêmio 2–1 São Paulo · Serie A
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Grêmio won 2–1.
- Shots
- 21–16
- Shots on target
- 7–4
- Expected goals
- 2.02–1.07
- Possession
- 40%–60%
Full time
What the match recorded
Grêmio beat São Paulo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – São Paulo): shots 21–16, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.02–1.07, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Grêmio have a visible home split
moderateGrêmio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
São Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateSão Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Grêmio | São Paulo | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.9 shots/match | 14.4 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
| Shots against | 19 shots/match | 14.9 shots/match | 14.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateSão Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Grêmio | São Paulo | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 43.1% | 59.3% | 48.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Grêmio favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 10
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Grêmio / São Paulo
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
More football
Related matches
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Red Bull Bragantino
Goiás
CuiabáTeam rankings in Serie A
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.