Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 3–0 Grêmio · Serie A

3–0Historical match

Grêmio

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 3–0.

Shots
1425
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.922.07
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Grêmio 3–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Grêmio): shots 14–25, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.92–2.07, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Grêmio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Flamengo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Grêmio14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoGrêmioBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match18.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionFlamengo · Grêmio43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoGrêmioBaseline
Possession59.8%43.5%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots25 shotsFlamengo 14 shots, Grêmio 25 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsFlamengo 4 shots, Grêmio 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG2.07 xGFlamengo 1.92 xG, Grêmio 2.07 xG
  • Possession53%47%Flamengo 53%, Grêmio 47%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersFlamengo 3 corners, Grêmio 7 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls17 foulsFlamengo 20 fouls, Grêmio 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo10 matchesGrêmio10 matches
2.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.34 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/1014.1 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.5 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession10/1043.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.2 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Jun 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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