PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Internacional 2–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 2–1.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.630.87
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Vasco da Gama 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Vasco da Gama): shots 11–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.63–0.87, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vasco da Gama's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsInternacional 11 shots, Vasco da Gama 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsInternacional 3 shots, Vasco da Gama 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.87 xGInternacional 1.63 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.87 xG
  • Possession45%55%Internacional 45%, Vasco da Gama 55%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersInternacional 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsInternacional 13 fouls, Vasco da Gama 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional10 matchesVasco da Gama10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/101 goal/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.13 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots10/1012.7 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession10/1046.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.6 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jun 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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