PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.710.46
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.71–0.46, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match14 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Red Bull Bragantino13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots14 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.6 fouls/matchFoulsAtlético Mineiro · Red Bull Bragantino17.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Fouls16.6 fouls/match17.3 fouls/match14.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 16 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.46 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.71 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.46 xG
  • Possession61%39%Atlético Mineiro 61%, Red Bull Bragantino 39%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAtlético Mineiro 7 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsAtlético Mineiro 8 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Mineiro
2Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro10 matchesRed Bull Bragantino10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.33 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots10/1013.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession10/1053.6%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners10/105.1 corners/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jun 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAtlético Mineiro — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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