PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 0–1 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 0–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.830.62
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Atlético Mineiro): shots 19–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.83–0.62, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Mineiro have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsCruzeiro 19 shots, Atlético Mineiro 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCruzeiro 5 shots, Atlético Mineiro 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.62 xGCruzeiro 1.83 xG, Atlético Mineiro 0.62 xG
  • Possession65%35%Cruzeiro 65%, Atlético Mineiro 35%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersCruzeiro 12 corners, Atlético Mineiro 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls21 foulsCruzeiro 19 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro9 matchesAtlético Mineiro9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.47 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/913.8 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target9/95.33 shots/match
54.1%Possession9/9● 58.1%
7.67 corners/match ●Corners9/95.33 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls9/917.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jun 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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