PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Athletico 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–0.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
0.920.61
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Botafogo): shots 16–13, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 0.92–0.61, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletico's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible away split

weak

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsAthletico 16 shots, Botafogo 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsAthletico 7 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.61 xGAthletico 0.92 xG, Botafogo 0.61 xG
  • Possession48%52%Athletico 48%, Botafogo 52%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersAthletico 6 corners, Botafogo 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsAthletico 15 fouls, Botafogo 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
0Draws
1Botafogo
Athletico — Botafogo · Serie A3–0
Botafogo — Athletico · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico9 matchesBotafogo9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.55 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.89 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession9/942.7%
4.89 corners/matchCorners9/94.89 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/914.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jun 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAthletico — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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