PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 2–0 América Mineiro · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–0.

Shots
184
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.140.41
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat América Mineiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – América Mineiro): shots 18–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.14–0.41, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

América Mineiro's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots4 shotsBotafogo 18 shots, América Mineiro 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotBotafogo 6 shots, América Mineiro 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.14 xG0.41 xGBotafogo 2.14 xG, América Mineiro 0.41 xG
  • Possession55%45%Botafogo 55%, América Mineiro 45%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersBotafogo 7 corners, América Mineiro 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsBotafogo 9 fouls, América Mineiro 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo
2Draws
0América Mineiro
Botafogo — América Mineiro · Serie A0–0
América Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo8 matchesAmérica Mineiro8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.5 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.27 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.9 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.88 shots/match
41.5%Possession8/8● 44.1%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.75 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls8/815.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headBotafogo — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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