PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Red Bull Bragantino 2–0 Santos · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Santos

WLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 2–0.

Shots
199
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
1.510.26
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Santos 2–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Santos): shots 19–9, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 1.51–0.26, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded the higher season possession share.

56% ●PossessionRed Bull Bragantino · Santos41.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull BragantinoSantosBaseline
Possession56%41.5%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 19 shots, Santos 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotRed Bull Bragantino 9 shots, Santos 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.26 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.51 xG, Santos 0.26 xG
  • Possession59%41%Red Bull Bragantino 59%, Santos 41%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 5 corners, Santos 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 13 fouls, Santos 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Red Bull Bragantino
1Draws
1Santos
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A0–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino8 matchesSantos8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.02 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.3 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.88 shots/match
56% ●Possession8/841.5%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/84.38 corners/match
18.4 fouls/matchFouls8/814.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 May 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoSantos
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headRed Bull Bragantino — Santos
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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