PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bahia 2–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A

Bahia

LLDLD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia and Cruzeiro drew 2–2.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.472.42
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia and Cruzeiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Cruzeiro): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.47–2.42, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia have a visible home split

moderate

Bahia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsBahia 14 shots, Cruzeiro 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsBahia 5 shots, Cruzeiro 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG2.42 xGBahia 1.47 xG, Cruzeiro 2.42 xG
  • Possession47%53%Bahia 47%, Cruzeiro 53%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBahia 6 corners, Cruzeiro 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsBahia 15 fouls, Cruzeiro 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia10 matchesCruzeiro10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.72 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 16.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.5 shots/match
51.1%Possession10/10● 54%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/10● 7.4 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jun 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required