PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Corinthians 2–0 Fluminense · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 2–0.

Shots
1422
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.451.29
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Fluminense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Fluminense): shots 14–22, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.45–1.29, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.4%PossessionCorinthians · Fluminense● 64.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansFluminenseBaseline
Possession41.4%64.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots22 shotsCorinthians 14 shots, Fluminense 22 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsCorinthians 4 shots, Fluminense 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.29 xGCorinthians 1.45 xG, Fluminense 1.29 xG
  • Possession30%70%Corinthians 30%, Fluminense 70%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCorinthians 7 corners, Fluminense 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls6 foulsCorinthians 18 fouls, Fluminense 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Corinthians
0Draws
2Fluminense
Corinthians — Fluminense · Serie A0–2
Fluminense — Corinthians · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians8 matchesFluminense8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.43 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5 shots/match
41.4%Possession8/8● 64.4%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/85.63 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls8/811.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCorinthians — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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