PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Internacional 2–0 Bahia · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Bahia

WWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 2–0.

Shots
79
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.971.15
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Bahia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Bahia): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.97–1.15, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bahia have a visible away split

weak

Bahia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsInternacional 7 shots, Bahia 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsInternacional 2 shots, Bahia 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.15 xGInternacional 0.97 xG, Bahia 1.15 xG
  • Possession44%56%Internacional 44%, Bahia 56%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersInternacional 2 corners, Bahia 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsInternacional 10 fouls, Bahia 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional8 matchesBahia8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.31 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/84.5 shots/match
51.3%Possession8/8● 52.3%
5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls8/817.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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