PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Coritiba 2–0 Fluminense · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 2–0.

Shots
915
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.010.96
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Fluminense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Fluminense): shots 9–15, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.01–0.96, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionCoritiba · Fluminense● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaFluminenseBaseline
Possession43.1%59.3%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsCoritiba 9 shots, Fluminense 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCoritiba 5 shots, Fluminense 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.01 xG0.96 xGCoritiba 2.01 xG, Fluminense 0.96 xG
  • Possession27%73%Coritiba 27%, Fluminense 73%
  • Corners7 corners11 cornersCoritiba 7 corners, Fluminense 11 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsCoritiba 15 fouls, Fluminense 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Coritiba
0Draws
1Fluminense
Fluminense — Coritiba · Serie A5–2
Coritiba — Fluminense · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba16 matchesFluminense16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1 goal/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 12.9 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target16/165.19 shots/match
43.1%Possession16/16● 59.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.13 corners/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Jul 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCoritiba — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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