Serie A · 2023

São Paulo 0–0 Bahia · Serie A

0–0Historical match

Bahia

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo and Bahia drew 0–0.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
1.850.54
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo and Bahia drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Bahia): shots 17–13, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 1.85–0.54, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bahia have a visible away split

moderate

Bahia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

60% ●PossessionSão Paulo · Bahia50.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloBahiaBaseline
Possession60%50.5%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsSão Paulo 17 shots, Bahia 13 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsSão Paulo 11 shots, Bahia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.54 xGSão Paulo 1.85 xG, Bahia 0.54 xG
  • Possession63%37%São Paulo 63%, Bahia 37%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersSão Paulo 10 corners, Bahia 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsSão Paulo 14 fouls, Bahia 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo17 matchesBahia17 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.88 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.35 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.16 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/1713.2 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.06 shots/match
60% ●Possession17/1750.5%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners17/176.12 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Jul 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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