PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

América Mineiro 0–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 0–1.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.60.79
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat América Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Vasco da Gama): shots 18–15, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.6–0.79, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsAmérica Mineiro 18 shots, Vasco da Gama 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsAmérica Mineiro 8 shots, Vasco da Gama 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG0.79 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.6 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.79 xG
  • Possession34%66%América Mineiro 34%, Vasco da Gama 66%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, Vasco da Gama 8 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsAmérica Mineiro 16 fouls, Vasco da Gama 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro24 matchesVasco da Gama24 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.08 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.36 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.8 shots/match
4.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.83 shots/match
41.3%Possession24/24● 47.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.33 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2415.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Sept 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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