PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 1–1 América Mineiro · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and América Mineiro drew 1–1.

Shots
1718
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.560.95
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and América Mineiro drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – América Mineiro): shots 17–18, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.56–0.95, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.6% ●PossessionCruzeiro · América Mineiro41.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroAmérica MineiroBaseline
Possession52.6%41.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots18 shotsCruzeiro 17 shots, América Mineiro 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsCruzeiro 2 shots, América Mineiro 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.95 xGCruzeiro 0.56 xG, América Mineiro 0.95 xG
  • Possession60%40%Cruzeiro 60%, América Mineiro 40%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersCruzeiro 9 corners, América Mineiro 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsCruzeiro 15 fouls, América Mineiro 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
0Draws
0América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro25 matchesAmérica Mineiro25 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.08 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252.04 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.27 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots25/2514 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.64 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession25/2541.2%
7.24 corners/match ●Corners25/254.36 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2515.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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